2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is into a final four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to take care of the winner with the Spain vs. Portugal game which takes place later today.
Recent history between these two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value earlier times, they may be focused on the overall game taking place.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy in the competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, forget about about this, earlier times doesn't play a role within our check here planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany has never won against Italy in the major tournament, but precisely what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it is time for Germany to win as they're the favored at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will probably be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way with this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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